Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 11.946731 13.290569 14.739082 16.419022 18.316901 20.398142 22.858165
2025-08-10 9.699603 11.483528 13.544796 16.112641 19.239715 22.941593 27.681570
2025-08-17 8.076805 10.083843 12.545666 15.810062 20.058616 25.446406 32.868934
2025-08-24 6.898261 9.021949 11.767505 15.616649 20.936484 28.121976 38.719297
2025-08-31 6.026339 8.213026 11.175783 15.543578 21.920803 31.051937 45.408484
2025-09-07 5.462935 7.731590 10.941151 15.899621 23.523270 35.063033 54.363689
2025-09-14 4.873223 7.128149 10.441617 15.777559 24.370156 38.047823 62.258921
2025-09-21 4.333636 6.526953 9.860651 15.433206 24.791421 40.390379 69.492683
2025-09-28 3.929364 6.081031 9.456150 15.299363 25.510491 43.298753 78.218147
2025-10-05 3.718528 5.912889 9.465438 15.837626 27.433661 48.571279 92.319646
2025-10-12 3.520810 5.741275 9.443555 16.309118 29.291933 54.005477 107.839081
2025-10-19 3.299386 5.504281 9.280333 16.499307 30.642234 58.671125 122.733808
2025-10-26 3.033043 5.168653 8.918788 16.296856 31.244820 62.032539 135.745472
2025-11-02 2.787433 4.845809 8.546548 16.027993 31.678369 65.128423 148.907902
2025-11-09 2.568037 4.549293 8.191816 15.748711 32.049572 68.158320 162.661411
2025-11-16 2.384814 4.302313 7.904750 15.569470 32.608065 71.708004 178.625790
2025-11-23 2.233725 4.101848 7.686540 15.504972 33.410133 75.969469 197.590403
2025-11-30 2.142532 4.008274 7.668962 15.865380 35.240303 83.063697 226.410683
2025-12-07 2.011063 3.822928 7.446710 15.746948 35.916320 87.376381 248.289585
2025-12-14 1.870864 3.607783 7.142101 15.405384 35.994922 90.141887 266.196588
2025-12-21 1.762395 3.448231 6.939069 15.273081 36.578552 94.382242 290.100129
2025-12-28 1.719030 3.420384 7.015646 15.811131 38.984483 104.217567 336.045610
2026-01-04 1.672197 3.380870 7.062324 16.282273 41.291528 114.264168 386.235255